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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | RN1 | THG. | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) | 56% (27391–21439, n=48830) | 50% (20849–20545, n=41394) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $14.8M | $26K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #902 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (260 of 332 open) | 63% (103 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (30 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10417 at avg 85¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% (won 0% of 1) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 26% (won 99% of 2670) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 0% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 74% (won 100% of 7741) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
92 on the same side, 57 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | THG. | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.6K | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | — | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $218 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $138 | Yes $192 | — | No $249 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.5K | — | No $3.1K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | Under $42 | — | Under $796 |
| Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $38K | No $4.4K | — | — |
| Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $17K | No $14K | — | — |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $223 | — | — |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | Olympique de Marseille $9.6K | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352 | — | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.6K | No $5.0K | — | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.8K | Under $5.9K | — | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.7K | Over $4 | — | — |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.4K | Yes $592 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $7.8K | No $135 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | Over $4.5K | — | — |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.4K | Yes $6 | — | — |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.1K | Under $2.8K | — | — |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.2K | No $2.5K | — | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.1K | Under $81 | — | — |
| Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.0K | Yes $743 | — | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $491 | Over $2.9K | — | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.7K | Under $414 | — | — |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.9K | Under $57 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.8K | Yes $994 | — | — |
| Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | Yes $16 | — | — |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | SC União Torreense $231 | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | Yes $464 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $629 | Yes $1.2K | — | — |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | Yes $63 | — | — |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.4K | No $60 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.2K | Yes $32 | — | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $69 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $803 | Under $278 | — | — |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $835 | Over $185 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | No $529 | — | — |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $588 | Over $336 | — | — |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $600 | No $300 | — | — |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $809 | Over $54 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | — | Yes $154 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $118 | Yes $594 | — | — |
| Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $677 | Over $1 | — | — |