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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1wowfarm
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)77% (5051–1547, n=6598)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$14.9M$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #584
Sides with the consensus74% (81 of 110 open)67% (36 of 54 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Tennis −8 pts, n=98
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%77% of 6104 at avg 76¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)19% (won 2% of 1144)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)2% (won 35% of 97)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)4% (won 54% of 254)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)76% (won 97% of 4609)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1wowfarm
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.1KYes $55—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873Yes $315—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $831Over $166—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272No $11—
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2Over $112—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6Over $29—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $13KHeat $33K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $508Keisuke Saitoh $25K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $13KNo $279—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.2KOver $3.4K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $540Sam Ryan Ziegann $3.6K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2.7KOver $256—
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $347—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.7KOver $922—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.3KOver $204—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4No $26—