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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpggA11xcrRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)61% (20–13, n=33)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$44K$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #535PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus64% (104 of 162 open)no open consensus position51% (22 of 43 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 18 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)6% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)61% (won 100% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)11% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpggA11xcrRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Tom Gentzsch $3.2K—Max Houkes $947—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708—
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp
Luka Mikrut $621—Sandro Kopp $6—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $210—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $1.5K—Filip Misolic $254—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Max Dahlin $338—Max Dahlin $495—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166—Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $197—Lakers $248—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $155—Lakers $282—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162—Raptors $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—