Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677LikaseentRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)43% (10–13, n=23)26% (319–918, n=1237)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$42K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #50PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (106 of 164 open)no open consensus position94% (31 of 33 open)50% (22 of 44 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12—Elections ±0 pts, n=187—
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%40% of 503 at avg 41¢, ROI +10%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)53% (won 3% of 265)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 38% of 29)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 61% of 38)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)34% (won 95% of 171)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677LikaseentRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K——Over $1.8K
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
Andres Martin $902——Filip Jeff Planinsek $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872——Over $3.0K
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain
Lucas Poullain $1.7K——Calvin Hemery $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
Carlos Sanchez Jover $425——Santiago De la Fuente $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169——Cavaliers $708
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $326——Max Dahlin $495
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183——Lakers $210
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $269——Sandro Kopp $6
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256——No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.4K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K——Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751——Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166——Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $197——Lakers $248
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Lakers $155——Lakers $282
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170——Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Raptors $162——Raptors $116
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51——Over $29