Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpmarvelousmarvinprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)60% (53–35, n=88)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)50% (26154–25785, n=51939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$57K$3.6M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #396PM monthly #49PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus71% (140 of 197 open)no open consensus position51% (20 of 39 open)66% (39 of 59 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +49 pts n=29, ROI +49%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 29 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)24% (won 100% of 7)41% (won 99% of 421)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)76% (won 100% of 22)49% (won 99% of 508)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpmarvelousmarvinprimmUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7K——No $15K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $686——No $929
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702——Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $67
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
FK Kolos Kovalivka $217——FK Polissia $270
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280——Yes $6
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K——Under $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K——No $5.4K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63—Colts $5.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K——No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $859——Under $2.0K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $1.2K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $747——Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $125
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319——Under $718
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $837——No $174
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $367——Under $606
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $689——Yes $282
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $922——Over $7
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
Commanders $320—Commanders $285—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $421——Over $14