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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1xyz.eww
Record (consensus markets)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)53% (19–17, n=36)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.6M$14.9M$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #924
Sides with the consensus65% (107 of 165 open)71% (67 of 95 open)49% (21 of 43 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=12, ROI +26%
Weakest topicNFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158——
Settled positions, side won56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 31 at avg 38¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)29% (won 22% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)45% (won 64% of 14)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)26% (won 88% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1xyz.eww
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12K—Over $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $872—Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
Alexander Ritschard $327—Luca Nardi $865—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708—
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover
Carlos Sanchez Jover $696—Santiago De la Fuente $96—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Hawks $183—Lakers $210—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $256—No $12—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
Franco Roncadelli $77—Juan Sebastian Gomez $4—
Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
Ryo Tabata $513—Ryo Tabata $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Lui Maxted
same side · consensus Lui Maxted
Lui Maxted $1.7K—Lui Maxted $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
same side · consensus Andres Martin
Andres Martin $806—Andres Martin $303—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $166—Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Lakers $187—Lakers $248—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
same side · consensus Lucas Poullain
Calvin Hemery $192—Calvin Hemery $35—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—