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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppagliacci4primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)96% (1650–75, n=1725)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$11K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #959PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (141 of 194 open)96% (22 of 23 open)51% (20 of 39 open)56% (82 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppagliacci4primmRN1
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Commanders $320—Commanders $285Rams $11K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $1.8KLions $47KLions $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $8.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $5.1K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $98Over $5.6K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $5.7K——Olympique de Marseille $3
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $2.8K
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.2K——Yes $108
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 $2.0K——TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Colts $94Cowboys $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $299——Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K——No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $231——Virginia Cavaliers $564
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $349——Virginia Cavaliers $2
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334——Under $7
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $286——No $10
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $159——Under $93
Will FC Utrecht vs. NEC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $241——Yes $3
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas Razorbacks $6——Virginia Cavaliers $49
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $18K——No $14K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $17K——Under $8.9K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16K——Under $7.7K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $23K——No $63
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7.1K——Over $10K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $3.2K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13K——CD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $2.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $5.8K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.7K——No $2.3K
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $7.1K——No $6
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $2.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63—Colts $5.7K—