Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asuka7BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (969–632, n=1601)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$34K$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #992PM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)81% (29 of 36 open)70% (82 of 117 open)62% (34 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won73% of 1322 at avg 57¢, ROI +13%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 41% of 128)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 59% of 349)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 79% of 477)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 89% of 368)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasuka7BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $8.1KYes $56
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $106
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $859Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $342Clippers $665
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Pelicans $100Clippers $673
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $112
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6Over $29
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
——Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58K
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $14KHeat $35K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
——Keisuke Saitoh $706Keisuke Saitoh $26K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
——Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KOver $3.4K
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
——Sam Ryan Ziegann $536Sam Ryan Ziegann $3.7K
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KUnder $357
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $2.7KOver $256
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.9KOver $930
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Clippers $946Clippers $1.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.7KUnder $13
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.3KOver $204
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
——Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $41
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $26