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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
crckrFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)26% (826–2370, n=3196)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$17K$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #935PM monthly #9PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus66% (27 of 41 open)71% (117 of 164 open)56% (70 of 125 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMentions −4 pts, n=154Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won22% of 1371 at avg 19¢, ROI +1%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 9% of 1056)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 43% of 127)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 65% of 109)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 91% of 79)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

38 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcrckrFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Rams $24K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.6KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $141No $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8KFC Barcelona $113—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6KUnder $420—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886Yes $254—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $973Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $847Under $33—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $367Over $164—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $320Yes $99—
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $78Over $340—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $139Bulls $106—
Rio Ave FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $38Under $8—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $40KNo $28K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $29KNo $16K—
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4KBroncos $38K—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $19KNo $3.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $12KClub Atlético de Madrid $3.6K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $11KYes $5.1K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0KOver $5.0K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $9.6KClub Atlético de Madrid $137—
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Stefan Kozlov $6.5KStefan Kozlov $3.2K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.8KNo $833—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8KNo $5.8K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214No $9.1K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.8KNo $1.9K—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.2KNo $543—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $7.9KFC Barcelona $11—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $3.6KFC Barcelona $3.2K—
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.0KNo $657—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $214No $4.4K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2KOver $2.1K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $968—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $468—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820No $1.6K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $2.0KBulls $99—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—76ers $76476ers $560—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $952Under $113—
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $819No $93—