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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | beachboy4 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (6114–5447, n=11561) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $5.8M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (245 of 368 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 87% of 90) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 369) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 401) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 1208) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.