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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3366–3514, n=6880) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$188K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (68 of 107 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (105 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4796 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 894) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 490) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 737) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2675) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | lissartter | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Browns $680 | Browns $255K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $500 | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.1K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $192 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.8K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.0K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $35 | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $767 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $400 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | No $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.0K | Yes $943 | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $297 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | — | Falcons $1.8K |
| Titans vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $15 | — | — | Titans $1.5K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $9.6K | No $411K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus No | No $11K | No $252K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $149 | No $184K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $274 | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $6.5K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $908 | No $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $1.1K |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $226 | No $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | — | Jaguars $643 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $46 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $922 | Yes $2.2K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $546 | No $590 | — | — |