← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| para-Vision | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (213–159, n=372) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $521K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 57% (86 of 150 open) | 60% (25 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −2 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 358 at avg 55¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 51% of 96) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 67% (won 60% of 239) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 86% of 21) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | para-Vision | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $7.4K | Raiders $171K | Jets $6.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K | Ravens $696 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $2.3K | Jets $284 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | Bills $22K | Bills $395 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $1.9K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $6.0K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $7.4K | — | Lions $21K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $423 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $2.7K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $7.0K | Under $1.8K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $765 | Buccaneers $4.9K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $647 | Bills $4.5K |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $4.0K | Ravens $295 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $1.3K | Buccaneers $2.3K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $2.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Ravens $1.4K | Bills $2.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $1.6K | Buccaneers $1.5K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $2.1K | Raiders $138 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.2K | Over $8 |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.0K | Under $17 |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $225 | Browns $471 |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Ravens $21 | Bills $662 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $434 | Under $65 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $12K | Chiefs $10 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $4.7K | Buccaneers $3.6K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $4.0K | Bills $2.7K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $5.1K | Buccaneers $1.5K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.8K | Under $575 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Buccaneers $3.8K | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $4.7K | Steelers $156 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-14.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $2.5K | Jaguars $4 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $629 | Cardinals $1.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $1.3K | Bills $282 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Buccaneers $748 | Buccaneers $181 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $166 | Over $2 |