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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (451–564, n=1015) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #156 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (229 of 311 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 66% (131 of 197 open) | 63% (70 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −2 pts, n=57 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 1724 at avg 59¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 2% of 680) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 44% of 43) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 82% of 44) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 99% of 957) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $279 | — | Yes $2.5K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $301 | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $274 | Under $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7 | — | Yes $642 | — |
| Sharks vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $78 | Over $351 |
| Flames vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $116 | Under $259 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $268 | Suns $6 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $7 | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Will Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $23 | No $6 |
| Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $8 | — | No $2.8K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | — | Quentin Halys $895 | Quentin Halys $1.3K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.7K | Spurs $183 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $1.5K | Lakers $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $805 | Under $506 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $865 | Under $28 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | — | Lakers $864 | Lakers $13 |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $2 | — | No $822 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $720 | Under $20 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $473 | Under $151 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $387 | Over $29 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $239 | Under $46 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Clippers $38 | Clippers $215 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5) same side · consensus Suns | — | — | Suns $80 | Suns $160 |
| Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $101 | Over $134 |
| Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $69 | — | No $136 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $10 | Yes $162 |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | No $1 | — | No $153 | — |
| Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | No $20 | — | No $90 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $51 | Over $28 |
| Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | No $5 | — | No $47 | — |