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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6563–6075, n=12638)48% (1130–1218, n=2348)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M-$37K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #10was PM monthly #853PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (117 of 172 open)40% (10 of 25 open)55% (45 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 668 at avg 70¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 100% of 49)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 139)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)15% (won 100% of 102)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)57% (won 100% of 378)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpLightParadoxRN1
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $25Southern Miss $502Southern Miss $498
Blues vs. Devils
same side · consensus Devils
—Blues $459Blues $88Blues $419
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Ducks $4.7KOilers $649
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $572—Suns $822
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $409—Canucks $867
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $678
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $21—Under $621
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $79—Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $428—Warriors $110
Spread: Jaguars (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $96Jaguars $415
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $458
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $254Over $31—
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $175—Over $83
Spread: UTSA (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——UTSA $77Florida Atlantic $40
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $83Justina Mikulskyte $24—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $2—Magic $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $78—Florida Atlantic $15K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $288—Jaguars $7.6K
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $2.7K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $657
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Suns $933—Suns $6
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $624Southern Miss $34
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $269—Yuta Shimizu $340
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $310Over $231
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $199Over $199—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174—Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $158—Under $15
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $132No $28—
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $41—Heat $100
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $10—
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
—Penguins $10—Penguins $52
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
—Oilers $50—Oilers $10
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $28—Over $6