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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)86% (2010–318, n=2328)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (19558–19625, n=39183)
Consensus PnL$232K$9.4M$3.3M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #429PM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)60% (15 of 25 open)67% (309 of 464 open)66% (82 of 124 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicMMA −1 pts, n=23—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won85% of 1982 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 8% of 191)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 46% of 94)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 68% of 164)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 1533)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $117—Under $720Over $5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $64KYes $115K—
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $771No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $5.2K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $420Under $762
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $990Yes $4
Will KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $566Yes $84
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Athletic Club $347
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
——FC Andorra $517CD Tenerife $45
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $10No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $23Yes $273
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
——CD Tenerife $99FC Andorra $191
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $111Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
——CD Tarancón $11Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $42Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $51Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $42
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $19—Under $10—
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $24Under $4
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $651KNo $40K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $23K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.0KNo $15K
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $6.2KCeltics $215—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $48—Under $5.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $2.6K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $713Under $2.7K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.7KNo $1.2K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $155
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KOver $8
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $311Under $416
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $14Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $61
Will RSC Anderlecht Futures vs. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $30No $47
RSC Anderlecht Futures vs. Koninklijke Lierse Sportkring: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $16Under $3