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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5923–5296, n=11219)65% (886–468, n=1354)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #145PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (198 of 311 open)73% (33 of 45 open)67% (113 of 168 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xbf2342fds234423dFlaznorpndb1RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
opposite sides · consensus Maya Joint
—Maria Sakkari $3.0K—Maya Joint $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1K—No $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
—Sarah Van Emst $210—Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $210—No $663
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Tena Lukas $2—Pia Lovric $250
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $47—Over $48
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $20K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39K—Under $45
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Learner Tien $11K—Learner Tien $16K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1K—Over $7.8K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.2K—Under $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.1K—No $1.5K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Jeline Vandromme
same side · consensus Jeline Vandromme
—Jeline Vandromme $4.3K—Jeline Vandromme $679
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
—Samuele Pieri $2.1K—Samuele Pieri $1.6K
Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel
same side · consensus Gina Feistel
—Gina Feistel $1.6K—Gina Feistel $1.7K
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $190—Martyna Kubka $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
—Tomas Curras Abasolo $120—Tomas Curras Abasolo $929
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $784—76ers $243
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Henri Haupt $864—Henri Haupt $54
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Iliyan Radulov $139—Iliyan Radulov $612
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $645—Under $56
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505—Over $164
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Ignacio Parisca $320—Ignacio Parisca $302
M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht
same side · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht
—Leonid Sheyngezikht $140—Leonid Sheyngezikht $384
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
—Pavlos Tsitsipas $456—Pavlos Tsitsipas $11
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $209—Wizards $22
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $162
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
same side · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Gaia Maduzzi $72—Gaia Maduzzi $56
W50 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $16—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $83
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
—Jeremy Gschwendtner $31—Jeremy Gschwendtner $56
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $28