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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39bBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (242–235, n=477)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL-$59K$8.4M$1.4M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #850PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (30 of 34 open)64% (104 of 162 open)51% (22 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=418—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won51% of 419 at avg 52¢, ROI −4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 14% of 35)10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 34% of 140)36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 62% of 185)35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 81% of 59)20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xe02066958cfd02ee1fc8a4cdb51b56a1ca50f39bBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $12KOver $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
——Tom Gentzsch $3.2KMax Houkes $947
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $169Cavaliers $708
Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Sandro Kopp
——Luka Mikrut $621Sandro Kopp $6
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $183Lakers $210
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $15KBills $77—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
——Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
Lima: Filip Misolic vs Alan Magadan
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
——Filip Misolic $1.5KFilip Misolic $252
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
——Max Dahlin $338Max Dahlin $495
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $166Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $197Lakers $248
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $155Lakers $282
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Raptors $162Raptors $116
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $203Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $51Over $29