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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xheavy888 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4392–3296, n=7688) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $379K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #201 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (75 of 102 open) | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (105 of 160 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −2 pts, n=2035 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 6230 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 8% of 590) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 42% of 1641) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 61% of 2379) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 26% (won 82% of 1620) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xheavy888 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $57 | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $2.3K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $54 | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $400 |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $195 | Bills $378K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | — | Steelers $5.5K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $27K | No $184K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $192 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $11K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $40K | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $85 | — | — | No $15K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $47 | — | — | Lions $3.2K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $270 | — | — | Falcons $1.8K |
| Titans vs. Bengals opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $88 | — | — | Titans $1.5K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $62 | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| CS Marítimo vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $141 | — | — | Over $791 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $53 | — | — | Over $546 |
| Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $100 | — | — | No $366 |
| Spread: Raiders (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $66 | — | — | Raiders $29 |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $8 | — | — | Felipe de Dios $1 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | Browns $222 | Browns $297K | — | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.6K | No $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | — | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | — | Jaguars $643 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $71 | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $698 | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $133 | — | — | Over $1.4K |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $46 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $57 | — | — | Over $1.0K |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $359 | — | — | Over $718 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $230 | — | — | No $640 |
| CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $468 | — | — | Under $68 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | — | — | Under $136 |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $31 | — | — | Under $76 |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen same side · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $16 | — | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |