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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
319113331313111FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)75% (74–25, n=99)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL-$7.6K$1.4M$14.9M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #965PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)66% (107 of 163 open)48% (20 of 42 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won98% of 64 at avg 70¢, ROI −7%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 67% of 3)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 100% of 4)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢41% (won 100% of 26)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 100% of 31)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market319113331313111FlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover
—Carlos Sanchez Jover $618Santiago De la Fuente $757—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169Cavaliers $708—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183Lakers $210—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $74Juan Sebastian Gomez $5—
Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
—Ryo Tabata $499Ryo Tabata $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
same side · consensus Luca Nardi
—Luca Nardi $55Luca Nardi $865—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $187Lakers $248—
Counter-Strike: STATE vs TheChampionGG (BO3) - United21 Group C
same side · consensus STATE
STATE $293STATE $131——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
same side · consensus Lucas Poullain
—Calvin Hemery $202Calvin Hemery $35—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29—