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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Aceplus3ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market32% (12–26, n=38)49% (33–34, n=67)50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL$1.5K-$22K$35K-$53K
Tracked asPM monthly #935was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)56% (5 of 9 open)69% (176 of 254 open)54% (48 of 89 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAceplus3ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $1.8K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.6KHornets $162Cavaliers $726
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.1KUnder $3—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $872Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $147Yes $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.2KYes $403
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $445Under $1.4K
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Giles Hussey
——Giles Hussey $226Geoffrey Blancaneaux $1.2K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $873Yes $315
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $22
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $471No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $836Yes $60
Spread: Rockets (-22.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $689Rockets $119
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
——Nuggets $93Rockets $669
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Warriors $481Pelicans $128
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $316Under $108
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $204Under $186
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $256No $12
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Grizzlies $41Raptors $126
Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $93Yes $34
Orleans: Clement Tabur vs Lukas Neumayer
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
——Clement Tabur $2.8KClement Tabur $25K
CD Tecnico Universitario vs. Manta FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.5KUnder $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.4K
Will Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.9KNo $39
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5.7KOver $86—
Nuggets vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $3.4KRockets $1.5K
Will Delfin SC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.5KNo $262
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $894Under $2.7K
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
——Rockets $605Rockets $2.5K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $142Rockets $2.4K
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.1KOver $1.0K
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Pelicans $1.8KPelicans $158
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $522
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
same side · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $2—Cavaliers $1.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $94Under $1.1K
Exact Score: FC Botoşani 0 - 1 ASC Oțelul Galați?
same side · consensus No
——No $638No $369
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $680Suns $245
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $333Lakers $514
FC Botoşani vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $580No $230
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $364Lakers $416
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Mushuc Runa SC vs. Delfin SC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $315
Pacers vs. Mavericks
same side · consensus Pacers
Mavericks $2—Mavericks $438—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $178Pistons $243