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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bet1nthedarkFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)88% (160–21, n=181)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL-$24K$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #9PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus93% (13 of 14 open)73% (144 of 197 open)56% (90 of 161 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won92% of 165 at avg 85¢, ROI +6%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 5)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 67% of 9)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 85% of 13)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 97% of 138)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

44 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBet1nthedarkFlaznorpRN1S-Works
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17KNo $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Rams $14K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $11KUnder $856—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $10KUnder $2—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $7.7KYes $661—
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.1KOlympique de Marseille $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $6.1KClub Atlético de Madrid $3—
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
—FC Schalke 04 $4.5KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $181—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $442Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KNo $2—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $750Under $267—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334Under $7—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $200Under $46—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $111KNo $40K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $29KUnder $19K—
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $960Broncos $39K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $16K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $7.5KOver $24K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19KUnder $12K—
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $7.3K—
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $13KOver $10K—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $13K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $4.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13KCD Cobresal $3.5K—
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $13KClub Atlético de Madrid $1.5K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $3.3K—
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.0KOver $4.0K—
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.4KNo $3.1K—
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.8KNo $5—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7KNo $279—
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4.0KYes $1.7K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $3.9KOver $847—
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $363—
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5KYes $234—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
—No $820No $1.6K—
Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
same side · consensus Boise State Broncos
—Boise State Broncos $1.4KBoise State Broncos $929—
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos
same side · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $942Western Michigan Broncos $733—
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $100—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $15—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $773Under $468—