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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSomnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (5574–5163, n=10737)50% (15597–15691, n=31288)50% (20890–20591, n=41481)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$505K$3.1M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #106PM monthly #140PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)77% (81 of 105 open)57% (77 of 135 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 19% of 1341)8% (won 60% of 874)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)35% (won 46% of 3607)21% (won 87% of 2384)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 61% of 3523)38% (won 95% of 4296)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1699)33% (won 99% of 3716)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSomnibus-076daaUpTheBlues
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11KYes $41—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25KYes $3.3KYes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18KYes $973Yes $258—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8KYes $59—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2KYes $320Yes $60—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $22KNo $4.8K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16KYes $3.0K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $4.8K——
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11KUnder $2—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $169—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $16No $1.1K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $326Yes $4—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $14K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $21K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.3KYes $5.3K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $37Yes $3.7K
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.8KYes $97—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KYes $96——
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56Yes $1.1K——
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $732Yes $3—
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $415Yes $117—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25Yes $427——
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $408Yes $37—
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $394Yes $45—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
——Under $34Under $378
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $164Yes $56——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $36Yes $3
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $17Yes $3—