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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (574–717, n=1291) | 52% (6582–6102, n=12684) | 39% (3362–5151, n=8513) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$465K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #249 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 75% (79 of 106 open) | 67% (454 of 673 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | Haradwaith | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $407K | — | Yes $344 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | — | No $4.6K | — |
| Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | No $372 | — |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $12K | — | Yes $8 | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $64 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | Athletic Club $218 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $132 | — | Yes $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $21K |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | — | Yes $79 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | Yes $25 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $494 | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | Yes $120 | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $2.4K | — | No $70 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $337 | — | Under $755 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $8 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | — | Under $595 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |