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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJoeyAroyyOORN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)47% (122–136, n=258)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$1.4M$6.8K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #266PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)67% (108 of 162 open)no open consensus position50% (21 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +50 pts n=113, ROI +51%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 113 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)1% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)47% (won 100% of 53)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 57)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)2% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJoeyAroyyOORN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover
—Carlos Sanchez Jover $618—Santiago De la Fuente $757
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $169—Cavaliers $708
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183—Lakers $210
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
opposite sides · consensus Lucas Poullain
—Lucas Poullain $236—Calvin Hemery $35
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli
—Franco Roncadelli $74—Juan Sebastian Gomez $2
Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles
same side · consensus Ryo Tabata
—Ryo Tabata $523—Ryo Tabata $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.4K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $15KBills $77——
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
same side · consensus Andres Martin
—Andres Martin $659—Andres Martin $306
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
same side · consensus Luca Nardi
—Luca Nardi $55—Luca Nardi $865
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166—Lakers $461
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $187—Lakers $248
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170—Cavaliers $111
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51—Over $29