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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1suitcase6628
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$14.9M—
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #16PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #806
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)72% (79 of 110 open)63% (33 of 52 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)—
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1suitcase6628
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $17KCoco Gauff $58KCoco Gauff $463
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KOver $3.3KOver $186
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $6.5K—Clippers $50
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Will Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KNo $487—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $204—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471No $524—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $831Over $158—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $139Over $117—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6Over $29—
Heat vs. Kings
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $13KHeat $33K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $416Keisuke Saitoh $21K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $5.9KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $273—Bilibili Gaming $6.7K
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
—Sam Ryan Ziegann $562Sam Ryan Ziegann $3.5K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KOver $256—
Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $494—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0KOver $758—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
—Giles Hussey $370Giles Hussey $24—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $26—