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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesx-MoneyForWhiskas
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)50% (26154–25785, n=51939)54% (1455–1255, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M$1.4M$170K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #7PM monthly #442
Sides with the consensus73% (43 of 59 open)73% (148 of 202 open)66% (39 of 59 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Crypto +29 pts n=598, ROI +25%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%96% of 598 at avg 67¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 99% of 3291)3% (won 27% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)18% (won 100% of 9212)10% (won 83% of 60)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)20% (won 100% of 9904)40% (won 98% of 240)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)56% (won 100% of 27970)47% (won 100% of 283)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBluesx-MoneyForWhiskas
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7KNo $15K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $4.3K76ers $797——
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $752—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686No $929—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596Yes $154—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $67—
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217FK Polissia $270—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280Yes $6—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $339KNo $109K——
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $45KColts $63——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $859Under $2.0K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $1.2K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.1KBulls $215——
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $747Boluspor $1.5K—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $125—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KYes $153—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319Under $718—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837No $174—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367Under $606—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $689Yes $282—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $922Over $7—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $427Over $14—