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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lightningbolts | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 59% (442–307, n=749) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.1M | $92K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #991 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 73% (80 of 109 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 62% (33 of 53 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 299 at avg 60¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 3% (won 100% of 10) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 21% (won 100% of 64) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 45% (won 100% of 136) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 30% (won 100% of 89) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | lightningbolts | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8.1K | — | Yes $56 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $831 | — | Over $157 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $273 | T1 $4 | — |
| Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Over $112 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $29 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $17K | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | — | Keisuke Saitoh $417 | — | Keisuke Saitoh $17K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $13K | — | No $279 |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.1K | — | Over $3.3K |
| Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $549 | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $3.8K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $2.6K | — | Over $256 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Over $758 |
| Club León FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $295 |
| Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $204 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun same side · consensus Giles Hussey | — | Giles Hussey $370 | — | Giles Hussey $24 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $26 |