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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppelikRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)99% (4533–14, n=4547)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$83K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #431PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)63% (200 of 319 open)92% (12 of 13 open)65% (109 of 168 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Finance +9 pts n=15, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 3195 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)0%22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)0% (won 100% of 3)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)100% (won 100% of 3191)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppelikRN1
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $47Over $808Over $48
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $39KUnder $758Under $45
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
opposite sides · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Alex de Minaur $7.4K—Tomas Etcheverry $56K
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $13K—Over $4.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Joanna Garland
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.7K—Joanna Garland $5.3K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.1K—No $3.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KOver $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Villa Maria: Franco Agamenone vs Ignacio Monzon
opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Monzon
—Franco Agamenone $61—Ignacio Monzon $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $210—No $663
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5Over $800—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $223—Hawks $396
W35 Liberec: Pia Lovric vs Tena Lukas
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Tena Lukas $2—Pia Lovric $250
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
—Lorenzo Musetti $20K—Lorenzo Musetti $53K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.1K—Over $7.8K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7.7K—Under $1.5K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.1K—No $1.5K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5KYes $2.3K—
Exact Score: Buriram United 0 - 0 Kashima Antlers?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $704
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $142Under $980—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $784—76ers $243
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
same side · consensus Alexandre Aubriot
—Henri Haupt $868—Henri Haupt $54
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $344FC Andorra $550—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
M25 Valencia: Bruno Pujol Navarro vs Iliyan Radulov
same side · consensus Iliyan Radulov
—Iliyan Radulov $139—Iliyan Radulov $612
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $645—Under $56
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505—Over $164
Spread: CD Tenerife (-3.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $98FC Andorra $554—
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Ignacio Parisca
—Ignacio Parisca $320—Ignacio Parisca $302
W50 Heraklion: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Daria Yesypchuk
same side · consensus Carlota Martinez Cirez
—Carlota Martinez Cirez $381—Carlota Martinez Cirez $42
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
—Tomas Curras Abasolo $17—Tomas Curras Abasolo $319
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $167—Under $121
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239—Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $39—Under $243
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $218—Wizards $22
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $162
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi
same side · consensus Lisa Pigato
—Gaia Maduzzi $72—Gaia Maduzzi $56
W50 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $16—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $83
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $78—Over $15
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $28