Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3joseph00677omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (10884–6285, n=17169)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15593–15689, n=31282)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$649K$5.3M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)65% (250 of 387 open)no open consensus position57% (61 of 107 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=121, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1164, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=150, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5751 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2184)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)7% (won 53% of 393)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)9% (won 71% of 531)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2643)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3joseph00677omnibus-076daa
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $312—Yes $169
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $309—Yes $223
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $18——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $68——
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $16—Yes $1.4K
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $63—Under $695
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $135—Yes $187
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $221—Under $42
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $19—Over $47
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3—Yes $5
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K——Yes $131
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $8——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KYes $524——
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $9—No $2.3K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.2K——Yes $60
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K——Yes $59
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $98—Yes $4
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $48Yes $39——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28——Yes $41
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $22—No $5
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7—Yes $19
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22—Yes $1
Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7—Yes $5
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9—Yes $1
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $5—Energetik Mingechevir $2