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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpGetsOnBaseprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)100% (3–0, n=3)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$80K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #179PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (114 of 161 open)100% (2 of 2 open)55% (12 of 22 open)54% (59 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpGetsOnBaseprimmRN1
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $13KCF Universidad de Chile $18K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $8.8K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $7.7K——Olympique de Marseille $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859——Over $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $141——No $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $2.8K——FC Barcelona $113
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446——Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873——Yes $315
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $886——Yes $254
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Calvin Hemery $973——Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $866——Under $30
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $376——Over $158
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 FC Barcelona?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $320——Yes $99
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $78——Over $340
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
76ers $173——Bulls $106
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $92K——No $28K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $31K——No $17K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $23K——No $3.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $5.6KEagles $11K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $13K——Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11K——Yes $5.1K
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $1.9K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid $12K——Club Atlético de Madrid $140
ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.0K——Over $5.0K
Charlottesville: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo
same side · consensus Aidan Mayo
Stefan Kozlov $6.5K——Stefan Kozlov $3.2K
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8K——No $5.8K
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $214——No $9.1K
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.0K——No $533
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $7.8K——FC Barcelona $11
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona $3.6K——FC Barcelona $3.2K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4.4K——Over $2.2K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63—Colts $5.7K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $195Eagles $4.7K
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1K——No $685
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?
same side · consensus No
No $212——No $4.4K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $210
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $968