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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMadridTimeRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (1052–1121, n=2173)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)50% (20851–20547, n=41398)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$13K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #953PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus68% (131 of 192 open)39% (15 of 38 open)52% (33 of 63 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)19% (won 100% of 94)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMadridTimeRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter
Andres Andrade $4.7KJames Kent Trotter $3.5KJames Kent Trotter $10K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9.6KUnder $10Over $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.3KUnder $29Over $1.2K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192No $249
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli
same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.6KThiago Seyboth Wild $7.4KThiago Seyboth Wild $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8KNo $198No $2.9K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42Under $796
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $19KUnder $77——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
EC Bahia leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $1.1K—
Will Botafogo FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.3KNo $111——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $812—
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.2KUnder $10——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4KNo $25——
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $118—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $279—Ipek Oz $678—
Will Botafogo FC vs. Londrina EC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $814Yes $29——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $228Under $423—
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $27—Under $564—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $81—Warriors $500—
Hurricanes vs. Islanders: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $559Over $2——
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $444—Warriors $107—
Botafogo FC vs. Londrina EC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $523Under $3——
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $401Under $26——
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $337Yes $10——
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Utah
Utah $247Canadiens $2——
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $8—Yes $164
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $19——
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $131—Yes $28—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $132——Yes $3
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
Noma Noha Akugue $83Justina Mikulskyte $25——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499——No $15K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $248—No $2.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $1.1K