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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Winning2... | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6569–6087, n=12656) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) | 31% (896–1962, n=2858) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $14.8M | $3.2M | -$20K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #32 + pinned | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #621 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (100 of 133 open) | 50% (16 of 32 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | Mentions −31 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% | 31% of 3383 at avg 30¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) | 52% (won 19% of 1769) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) | 38% (won 39% of 1302) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) | 9% (won 60% of 288) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) | 1% (won 88% of 24) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | RN1 | UpTheBlues | Winning2... |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | Over $1.6K | Under $21K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | No $2.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | Under $64 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $702 | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $139 | Yes $192 | No $249 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $2.5K | No $3.1K | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | Under $42 | Under $796 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $69 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $466 | No $529 | — | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | Diletta Cherubini $281 | Ipek Oz $698 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | No $596 | — | Yes $154 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | No $172 | — |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $132 | — | Yes $3 | — |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro | Mio Mushika $2 | Kanon Sawashiro $48 | — | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | Under $12 | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $499 | — | No $15K | — |
| Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot same side · consensus Harold Mayot | Harold Mayot $1.3K | Harold Mayot $3.9K | — | — |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | Under $338 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao same side · consensus Katie Swan | Katie Swan $851 | Katie Swan $1.1K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $337 | — | Under $755 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.1K | — | Over $8 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $361 | — | Under $595 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz same side · consensus Han Shi | Han Shi $303 | Han Shi $156 | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $175 | Warriors $87 | — | — |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 | — |