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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677LightParadox
Record (consensus markets)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (978–966, n=1944)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.3M$2.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #681
Sides with the consensus70% (203 of 291 open)no open consensus position48% (52 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)17% (won 100% of 86)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 276)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677LightParadox
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $16K—No $18
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K—No $3
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Philip Henning $1.0K—Carlo Alberto Caniato $2.2K
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Milan
AC Milan $2.3K—Ferencvárosi TC $1
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K—No $122
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $962—Over $30
Spread: Atalanta BC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
Qairat FK $818—Atalanta BC $46
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Sparta Praha
AC Sparta Praha $824—AFC Bournemouth $21
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
SK Iberia 1999 $123—FC København $665
Charlottesville: Aidan Mayo vs Alastair Gray
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
Aidan Mayo $739—Alastair Gray $2
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $720—Crystal Palace FC $8
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $581—AC Milan $131
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $363—Over $166
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $261—Over $29
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: FC København O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $259—Under $18
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $268—Under $3
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $232—Over $18
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $90—Ryan Nijboer $49
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108—Under $22
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: AC Sparta Praha O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $47—Over $81
Spread: FC Viktoria Plzeň (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lillestrøm SK
Lillestrøm SK $48—FC Viktoria Plzeň $41
W35 Orlando, FL: Yara Bartashevich vs Dasha Ivanova
opposite sides · consensus Dasha Ivanova
Yara Bartashevich $64—Dasha Ivanova $13
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $32—Over $41
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FC Lugano $3—FK Kauno Žalgiris $60
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $40—No $19
FK Crvena zvezda leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6—No $51
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Under $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Lorenzo Musetti $9.4K—Lorenzo Musetti $4.9K
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Brighton & Hove Albion FC $8.0K—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $87
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $7.2K—No $255
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6K—No $1.2K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K—No $418
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.1K—No $287
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $28
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $883—No $505
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $47
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Over $13
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K—Yes $80
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $914—No $97
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $998—Yes $2
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $942—No $39
RC Celta de Vigo vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $747—Under $212
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $534—Over $93
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $601—No $18
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $510—No $100
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $464—No $117
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $336—Over $27
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $166—Over $166
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Hajduk Split $296—HNK Hajduk Split $3
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Leolia Jeanjean
Leolia Jeanjean $134—Leolia Jeanjean $150