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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)55% (13164–10557, n=23721)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)57% (154–114, n=268)
Consensus PnL$1.9M$3.2M$14.9M$36K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #32 + pinnedPM monthly #906
Sides with the consensus72% (89 of 124 open)no open consensus position59% (17 of 29 open)66% (35 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1SilentShark
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0KOver $91
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315Yes $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1KOver $10
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
Edward Winter $3.0K—Alafia Ayeni $128—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——Woking FC $690
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $18
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 1 - 1 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $71——Yes $123
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $1.6K—Keisuke Saitoh $13K—
USC Trojans vs. Wichita State Shockers
same side · consensus USC Trojans
USC Trojans $4.1K—USC Trojans $3.7K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $412——Under $316
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112——Yes $104
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $32——Yes $107
Exact Score: CD Pamplona 0 - 1 SD Eibar?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $100——Yes $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $51—Over $29—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $22—