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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (13333–10716, n=24049) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (19699–21461, n=41160) | 49% (192–196, n=388) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $3.2M | $14.9M | -$104K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (107 of 163 open) | no open consensus position | 48% (20 of 42 open) | 50% (177 of 352 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 92% of 211 at avg 71¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 9% (won 40% of 20) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 12% (won 92% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 14% (won 93% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 64% (won 99% of 135) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | RN1 | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Over $1.8K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $872 | — | Over $3.0K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K | — |
| Lima: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Santiago De la Fuente opposite sides · consensus Carlos Sanchez Jover | Carlos Sanchez Jover $618 | — | Santiago De la Fuente $757 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | No $873 | — | Yes $315 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $491 | — | No $524 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $837 | — | Yes $60 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $169 | — | Cavaliers $708 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $183 | — | Lakers $210 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $256 | — | No $12 | — |
| Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Juan Sebastian Gomez opposite sides · consensus Franco Roncadelli | Franco Roncadelli $74 | — | Juan Sebastian Gomez $5 | — |
| Lima: Ryo Tabata vs Johan Nikles same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | Ryo Tabata $499 | — | Ryo Tabata $20K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | No $2.4K | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady same side · consensus Billy Harris | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | Billy Harris $6.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | Over $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K | — |
| Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard same side · consensus Luca Nardi | Luca Nardi $55 | — | Luca Nardi $865 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $721 | — | Under $20 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $166 | — | Lakers $461 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $187 | — | Lakers $248 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $170 | — | Cavaliers $111 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $203 | — | Under $41 | — |
| Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain same side · consensus Lucas Poullain | Calvin Hemery $199 | — | Calvin Hemery $35 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $51 | — | Over $29 | — |