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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
banepirFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6467–6001, n=12468)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (185 of 248 open)61% (83 of 136 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbanepirFlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $796
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31KNo $14K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $24KYes $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $6.7KBayer 04 Leverkusen $10—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.6KOver $514—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $4.5K—
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.0KYes $574—
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3KNo $1.9K—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.0KNo $1.3K—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7KUnder $414—
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.9KYes $6—
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $63—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $32—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $632Over $631—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600No $300—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $719Yes $156—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $432Warriors $143—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $405Over $5—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2Over $336—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $82Yes $186—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $72—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $29Yes $27—
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $9No $46—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $49KNo $26K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $47KNo $20K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $18K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $11KOver $8.1K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $2.4K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KUnder $11K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.0KUnder $6.9K—