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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4e46m3FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (11407–3919, n=15326)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$925K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #17PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (443 of 580 open)63% (146 of 231 open)61% (96 of 158 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—38% (won 19% of 2052)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—7% (won 53% of 368)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—9% (won 72% of 497)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 97% of 2506)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

42 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4e46m3FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KYes $2.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
——Gonzalo Bueno $1.2KEduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
——Maxwell McKennon $823Mauricio Echazu $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $713Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $213No $677
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $23No $781—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $220Hawks $426
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134No $468—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $304Thunder $273
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $215Grizzlies $118
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $160No $83—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Suns $124Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $123Over $86
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Hawks $31Wizards $89
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $40KNo $6.5K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $287Over $30K—
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Renata Zarazua $3.0KRenata Zarazua $18K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.3KUnder $7.5K
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
——Marcos Giron $3.2KMarcos Giron $13K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
——Arthur Fils $5.6KArthur Fils $11K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $14KYes $378
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
——Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7KNishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $13KYes $104
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.2KNo $3.4K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.5KUnder $1.4K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $140No $4.3K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $83No $2.1K—
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
same side · consensus Max Wiskandt
——Hiroki Sakagawa $1.0KHiroki Sakagawa $706
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $6Pistons $1.6K—
Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5Over $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
——Filip Jeff Planinsek $26Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $77676ers $240
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $713Yes $250
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $720Over $165
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Solana Sierra $286Solana Sierra $476
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $720Under $20
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $383Raptors $124
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $40Under $371
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $8Energetik Mingechevir $396—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $172Under $120