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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (428–388, n=816) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $411K | $4.1M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #719 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (97 of 144 open) | 72% (70 of 97 open) | 54% (40 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $121 | — | Seahawks $3.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $859 | — | Over $3.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.6K | — | No $145 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $769 | — | Pistons $307 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $499 | — | Nets $144 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Spread: Richmond Spiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Richmond Spiders | — | Temple Owls $4 | — | Richmond Spiders $268 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6 | — | Over $29 |
| Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | — | Under $2 |
| Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $38K | — | No $3.5K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $6.4K | — | Lakers $89 |
| Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | — | No $3.7K |
| Richmond Spiders vs. Temple Owls same side · consensus Richmond Spiders | — | Richmond Spiders $3.7K | — | Richmond Spiders $674 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Lakers $3.4K | — | Lakers $569 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $3.2K | — | Lakers $676 |
| Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $2.2K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Mavericks $884 | — | Mavericks $228 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $612 | — | Pistons $55 |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $182 | — | Lakers $484 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $191 | — | Over $186 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $177 | — | Under $41 |
| North Dakota State Bison vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison | — | Bakersfield Roadrunners $33 | — | Bakersfield Roadrunners $141 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $26 |