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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
duratio12FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (25–31, n=56)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$16K$4.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #855PM monthly #9PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (135 of 183 open)58% (22 of 38 open)55% (87 of 159 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 78% of 9)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 79% of 19)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 95% of 19)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 100% of 18)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketduratio12FlaznorpprimmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $1.4KPanthers $6.6KBroncos $46K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320Commanders $285Rams $15K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $13K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $12K—Under $88
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $8.3K
Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.9K—Yes $2.1K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.3K—Yes $614
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $8.2K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
—Racing Club de Lens $7.2K—Olympique de Marseille $1
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Barcelona
—FC Barcelona $7.0K—Club Atlético de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Lions $2.0KDolphins $3.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $5.0K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $745Rams $4.1K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $859—Over $3.0K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
—Brown Bears $644—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3K—Under $420
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
—Calvin Hemery $969—Yanis Ghazouani Durand $100
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $346—Over $124
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $439—Over $5
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $100—Over $308
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $334—Under $7
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—76ers $153—Bulls $106
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 149.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $137—Under $121
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
opposite sides · consensus Mitchell Krueger
—Mitchell Krueger $108—Samir Banerjee $1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $112K—No $54K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $22K—No $18K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus Club Atlético de Madrid
—Club Atlético de Madrid $14K—Club Atlético de Madrid $3.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CD Cobresal $13K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $5.6KEagles $10K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $3.9K