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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ghorrock | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (6114–5447, n=11561) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | -$16K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #509 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (276 of 402 open) | 74% (72 of 97 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (11 of 21 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 2068 at avg 72¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 87% of 90) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 369) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 401) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 1208) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ghorrock | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Broncos $18 | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $6.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $207 | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $936 | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $353 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $91 | No $16K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $92 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13 | Yes $11K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $256 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $7 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Broncos | Broncos $17 | Chiefs $1.2K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $149 | Yes $943 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $306 | No $753 | — | — |
| Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13 | — | — | Under $250 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $14 | — | — | Patriots $57 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $20 | — | — | Over $22 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $8 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $8 | Chiefs $152K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $188 | No $102K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $380 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $420 | No $24K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $128 | No $23K | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $207 | Yes $20K | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $296 | Yes $16K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $132 | No $10K | — | — |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 32.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $20 | — | — | Over $5.8K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $66 | Yes $4.7K | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $410 | Yes $4.4K | — | — |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $119 | Yes $3.0K | — | — |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $2.5K | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $25 | Yes $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | Patriots $2 | — | — | Patriots $1.8K |
| Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $8 | — | — | Patriots $1.3K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $21 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $108 | Yes $967 | — | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) same side · consensus Broncos | Broncos $26 | — | — | Broncos $247 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $222 | Yes $28 | — | — |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $46 | Yes $193 | — | — |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $164 | — | — |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $19 | Yes $118 | — | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $21 | — | — | Patriots $14 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9 | — | — | Over $4 |