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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1omnibus-076daaUpTheBluesyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)63% (988–572, n=1560)50% (15434–15508, n=30942)50% (20828–20526, n=41354)49% (6393–6572, n=12965)
Consensus PnL$3.2M$3.1M$3.2M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #104PM monthly #60PM monthly #7PM monthly #677
Sides with the consensus76% (100 of 132 open)59% (94 of 159 open)67% (41 of 61 open)48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNFL −9 pts, n=139———
Settled positions, side won64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 15% of 168)8% (won 60% of 874)7% (won 99% of 2623)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 256)21% (won 87% of 2384)21% (won 100% of 7839)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 58% of 314)38% (won 95% of 4296)22% (won 100% of 8452)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 99% of 3716)51% (won 100% of 19323)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1omnibus-076daaUpTheBluesyoucanbuythisbot
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16No $1.1KYes $37
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $22KUnder $839
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7.6KOver $21
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $345Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $289Yes $7
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Athletic Club $226Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $172No $4
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $115Over $54—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $72Over $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $64Over $5
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $42Yes $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $5Under $24
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $15KNo $374
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $3——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.4KNo $255
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $38Yes $3.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $2.7KNo $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $2.6KUnder $69
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $945Under $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $791Under $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $768Under $13
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $757Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34Under $378—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $217No $43—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Over
—Over $188Over $45—
Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-21?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $65Yes $108—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $79Yes $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7Over $43
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $38Yes $3—