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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | pollo07 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14961–15011, n=29972) | 38% (313–505, n=818) | 47% (13283–14790, n=28073) | 50% (19442–19516, n=38958) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $115K | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #60 | PM monthly #78 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (80 of 140 open) | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 47% (17 of 36 open) | 64% (30 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=70 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 45% of 406 at avg 46¢, ROI +7% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 60% of 899) | 51% (won 1% of 207) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 87% of 2444) | 3% (won 45% of 11) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 95% of 4418) | 2% (won 44% of 9) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3709) | 44% (won 96% of 179) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | pollo07 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.6K | — | Over $941 | Under $21K |
| Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $65 | — | No $1.5K | Yes $5.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $382 | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $3.1K | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $2.2K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Aliaksandra Sasnovich $180 | — | Talia Gibson $2.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.6K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $223 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $35 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.2K | Yes $47 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | — | No $1.2K |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $73 | — | No $662 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $162 | No $288 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $347 |
| W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Aoi Ito opposite sides · consensus Katie Swan | Aoi Ito $38 | — | Katie Swan $281 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Naho Sato vs Jia-Jing Lu opposite sides · consensus Jia-Jing Lu | Naho Sato $99 | — | Jia-Jing Lu $154 | — |
| W100 Incheon: Yuki Naito vs Sara Saito opposite sides · consensus Sara Saito | Yuki Naito $9 | — | Sara Saito $228 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $90 | No $139 |
| W35 Hamamatsu: Haruna Arakawa vs Yuzuha Negishi opposite sides · consensus Haruna Arakawa | Haruna Arakawa $71 | — | Yuzuha Negishi $105 | — |
| W50 Heraklion: Antonia Stoyanov vs Alisa Oktiabreva opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva | Alisa Oktiabreva $65 | — | Antonia Stoyanov $19 | — |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $72 | — | — | Over $10 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? same side · consensus No | No $153 | — | — | No $26K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter same side · consensus Claire Liu | Katie Boulter $68 | — | Katie Boulter $19K | — |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.3K | No $3.1K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.6K | No $3.6K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | — | Yes $4.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K |
| UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | No $213 | — | — | No $42 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $56 | Under $44 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $30 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny | Lukas Pokorny $5 | — | — | Lukas Pokorny $4 |