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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
takeormakeCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (2310–1925, n=4235)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$986K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #25PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (48 of 88 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (79 of 109 open)58% (85 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 33% of 220)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 84% of 413)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 96% of 918)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 506)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettakeormakeCORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $19K—Bills $378KBills $22K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $5.1K—Browns $255KSteelers $6.0K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5.3K—Bills $51KBills $18K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Colts $31—Jaguars $20KJaguars $1.1K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $34K—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $28K—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $1.0K—Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Raiders $17KJets $109
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $205——Cardinals $11K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $51——Under $9.2K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4K——Bills $4.0K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3——Under $4.8K
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
Vikings $3——Lions $4.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.4K—Bills $2.1K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $425——Under $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $1.2K——Cardinals $1.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cowboys $287——Cardinals $2.2K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $78——Under $2.2K
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $951—Yes $193—
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $38——Titans $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $6——Cardinals $629
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Jaguars $54——Colts $283
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $49——Under $228
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $53——Under $213
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $20——Under $90
Spread: Bills (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Bills $4——Ravens $93
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $72K—Raiders $171K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $1—Cardinals $35K—
Celtics vs. Magic
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $5.1K—Magic $24K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $7.8K——Titans $826
Spread: Jets (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $4.2K——Raiders $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $57——Over $5.4K
Spread: Bengals (-1.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $3.1K——Titans $1.2K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $125——Bills $4.0K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $2.6K——Titans $1.1K
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $1.7K——Titans $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $268——Jaguars $2.5K
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $4——Titans $2.2K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.3K——Ravens $647
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $910——Titans $696
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $73——Over $1.3K
Spread: Titans (-2.5)
same side · consensus Titans
Titans $555——Titans $766
Spread: Raiders (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $428——Raiders $581
Spread: Vikings (-6.5)
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $1——Vikings $610
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $43——Over $434
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Jaguars $254——Jaguars $46