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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)49% (6382–6570, n=12952)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #684
Sides with the consensus73% (22 of 30 open)71% (128 of 181 open)60% (26 of 43 open)50% (12 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 99% of 141)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1youcanbuythisbot
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $816
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499—No $374
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3KUnder $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529Yes $18
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Under $24
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192Yes $8
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $305KDplus KIA $30——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $38
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678—
Will Inter San Carlos win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $399No $221—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $851James Kent Trotter $19K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5KUtah $382——
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.0KOver $2.4K—
Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $1.8K—
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $392——
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
—Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289—
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.8KRider Broncs $276——
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $301No $2.5K—
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $656No $685—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Canucks $22Canucks $1.2K—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $877Under $322—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $45
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $289—
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $462No $267—
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $171No $460—
Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $588Under $34—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $596—No $5
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $134Canucks $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $360Over $21
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $13
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $313—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $293—Under $5
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $229—Yes $7
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $171Yes $49—
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
—No $148No $33—
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18Under $11—