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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpUpTheBluesWinning2...
Record (consensus markets)54% (4945–4167, n=9112)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)51% (28348–27348, n=55696)31% (1185–2614, n=3799)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$1.4M$1.4M-$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #10PM monthly #599
Sides with the consensus47% (8 of 17 open)68% (81 of 120 open)66% (46 of 70 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NBA +2 pts n=462, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=155, ROI +1%
  • NHL +4 pts n=178, ROI 0%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −24 pts, n=12—Mentions −32 pts, n=23
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%31% of 3748 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)30% (won 9% of 919)7% (won 99% of 3291)52% (won 19% of 1949)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 100% of 9212)38% (won 38% of 1422)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)14% (won 63% of 439)20% (won 100% of 9904)9% (won 62% of 350)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)42% (won 94% of 1302)56% (won 100% of 27970)1% (won 85% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpUpTheBluesWinning2...
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $6.4KYes $2.8KNo $14K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $5.2K—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $752—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686No $929—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596Yes $154—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $721Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $67—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $328Yes $6—
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $118Over $54—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 0 - 3 FK Polissia?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $32No $62—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $51Under $12—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5KNo $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $872Under $2.0K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K—
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $118—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KYes $153—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $755Yes $280—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $412Under $606—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837No $174—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $872—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $956Over $7—
FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $161Over $215—
Will FK Kolos Kovalivka win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $40No $200—
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $185No $35—
Exact Score: FK Kolos Kovalivka 1 - 0 FK Polissia?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112Yes $79—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112Yes $52—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 0 - 2 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $78Yes $60—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $131CD Pamplona $6—
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $50Over $5—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $7No $23—
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. FK Kharkiv end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $18No $6—