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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)87% (89–13, n=102)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)50% (20930–20602, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$101K$7.9M$3.3M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #309PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus57% (17 of 30 open)62% (18 of 29 open)74% (176 of 238 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won78% of 74 at avg 70¢, ROI +6%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 28% of 18)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 96% of 51)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $9Under $5.2K
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.7K—No $229—
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.9K—No $354—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K—No $750—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $222—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $757
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $534—No $486—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Athletic Club $345
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $548Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $127No $270
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $132Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $14KUnder $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $499No $15K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $9.0K—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $572Under $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $343Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $411Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $791
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $6No $60
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7Under $12
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $12Yes $2