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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)36% (502–903, n=1405)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$95K—$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #30—PM monthly #21PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (205 of 281 open)no open consensus position62% (208 of 338 open)65% (102 of 156 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=687—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 3% of 1478)—29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 43% of 121)—16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 70% of 163)—17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up55% (won 98% of 2142)—38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

43 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.1KOver $17
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $500—Yes $2.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $317No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $802Yes $419
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $213No $677
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13—Yes $663—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Wizards $237Hawks $408
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $474—Yes $121—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
——Laura Samson $449Carole Monnet $2
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $26No $15
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
——Daniil Medvedev $5.5KDaniil Medvedev $36K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
——No $31KNo $4.4K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $21KYes $12K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $19KOlympiakós SFP $109
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.4KUnder $7.5K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $15KYes $390
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $5.2KOver $7.9K
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $12KYes $101
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
——Matej Dodig $3.3KMatej Dodig $9.0K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.6KUnder $4.5K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.6KNo $3.6K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $7.6KUnder $1.5K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KUnder $3.0K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $4.7K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $2.6K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $57
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $5Over $1.5K
M25 Heraklion: Tomas Curras Abasolo vs Robert Guna
same side · consensus Tomas Curras Abasolo
——Tomas Curras Abasolo $341Tomas Curras Abasolo $1.1K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $101Under $1.1K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $8—No $1.1K—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $77676ers $240
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $695Yes $231
Luanda: Diana Martynov vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
——Yasmine Kabbaj $881Yasmine Kabbaj $9
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $768No $31
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $720Under $20
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $505Over $158
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
same side · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
——Ignacio Parisca $298Ignacio Parisca $296
Olympiakós SFP leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $576No $3
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $170Under $119
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $40Under $238
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
——Olympiakós SFP $170Olympiakós SFP $104
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Midori Castillo Meza
same side · consensus Victoria Rodriguez
——Victoria Rodriguez $92Victoria Rodriguez $178