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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy888BreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)57% (4392–3296, n=7688)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$379K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus76% (66 of 87 open)72% (73 of 101 open)55% (65 of 119 open)74% (14 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2035———
Settled positions, side won56% of 6230 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 590)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1641)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2379)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1620)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy888BreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $27KNo $184K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $25Chiefs $62K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14KNo $35K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10KYes $37K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40KYes $1.1K——
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14Magic $24K——
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $246—Over $2.5K—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $546——Rams $1.0K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $669——Under $250
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $226—No $18—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $8—Felipe de Dios $1—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6KYes $272K——
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6KNo $40K——
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $282—No $26K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
same side · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $19—Ozan Baris $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $71—Over $3.0K—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Over $1.1K
Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $60—Titans $2.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $434—Yes $934—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $11—Under $954—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $148—No $516—
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $104—Over $542—
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $494——Rams $4
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $281—Under $141—
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
same side · consensus SC Braga
FC Famalicão $5—FC Famalicão $21—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
same side · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $16—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $5—Shunsuke Mitsui $5—