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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)96% (3970–187, n=4157)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL-$14K$4.1M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus90% (37 of 41 open)68% (107 of 157 open)53% (28 of 53 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicFinance −2 pts, n=112Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won94% of 1369 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 12% of 33)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 46% of 41)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 62% of 50)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up91% (won 99% of 1245)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigFlaznorpRN1S-Works
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.4KUnder $5.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
—AIK $3.5KBK Hacken $465—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $1.9KElias Ymer $163—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
—SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15PSV $113—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $57KNo $4.8K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $5.9KToby Samuel $31K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $24KNo $174—
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $18KNo $5.5K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.5K—Yes $4.5K—
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $126—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.9KNo $79—
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $73—
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $49—
Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $114—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—