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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimendb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)46% (1269–1503, n=2772)63% (1014–591, n=1605)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.7M$4.6K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #566PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)69% (209 of 305 open)54% (68 of 125 open)73% (62 of 85 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 100% of 58)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)20% (won 100% of 158)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)15% (won 100% of 120)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)58% (won 100% of 456)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

49 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMadridTimendb1
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $17KUnder $540Under $6.4K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Noma Noha Akugue $589Sofya Lansere $7.9K—
Watford FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.0KOver $22—
Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $2—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $875Yes $55—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $391Magda Linette $383—
Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $747Yes $3—
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $553Yes $79—
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $234No $261—
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $325Over $143—
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $304No $129—
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nottingham Forest FC
—Nottingham Forest FC $251Manchester City FC $80—
Will Hornchurch FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134No $174—
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $210Kilian Feldbausch $38—
Spread: Burton Albion FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AFC Rushden & Diamonds
—AFC Rushden & Diamonds $130Burton Albion FC $41—
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus ES Troyes AC
—ES Troyes AC $141Paris Saint-Germain FC $29—
Will Club Always Ready vs. Club ABB end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $111Yes $15—
CA Rosario Central leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $73Yes $14—
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $81—
KVC Westerlo vs. Royal Charleroi SC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3No $80—
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $61Yes $20—
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sporting CP
—Sporting CP $66Moreirense FC $11—
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $67No $10—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $28Facundo Acosta $3—
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $8—
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $4—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409K——No $337K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $280K——Yes $11K
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
—Jerome Kym $1.7KJerome Kym $11K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $4.4KJanice Tjen $7.8K—
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $7.5K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.0KYes $19—
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5KNo $1.3K—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $1.6K—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.4KNo $282—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.4KNo $1.3K—
Will Blackpool FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.1KNo $2.3K—
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $1.5K—
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.3KNo $22—
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.2KNo $17—
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $201No $1.5K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Karl Friberg vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $1.2KToby Samuel $405—
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2KMiddle Tennessee $261—
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Fresno State
—Fresno State $145Fresno State $1.2K—
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $688No $261—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Inaki Montes
same side · consensus Inaki Montes
—Inaki Montes $879Inaki Montes $58—
Bradford City AFC vs. Marine AFC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $824Over $13—
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $587No $242—
Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $400No $363—
Bromley FC vs. Rotherham United FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $577Under $15—